NFL Players Props Picks & Trends for Week 11

NFL Player Props Picks

Welcome to our NFL Week 11 player prop picks! As we dive into this week’s matchups, we have identified three players who stand out in terms of their potential impact and ROI. Christian McCaffrey, Justin Herbert, and Jordan Love are ready to make their mark, and we’re here to provide insights on the prop bets you should consider on Sunday. We’ve got you covered with our carefully selected prop picks for NFL Week 11. Let’s jump right in and explore the prop bets that could lead you to a winning weekend.

Quick Hitter NFL Player Props Week 11:

  1. Trevor Lawrence JAC (QB) Longest Rush – Over 7.5 = 90% L10 games
  2. Saquon Barkley NYG(RB) Longest Rush – Over 15.5 = 90% L10 games
  3. Devin Singletary HOU (RB) Rushing Yards – Under 74.5 = 90% L10 games
  4. Donald Parham Jr. LAC (TE) Receiving Yards – Under 27.5 = 90% L10 games
  5. James Conner ARI (RB) Rushing Yards – Over 61.5 = 80% L10 games

Christian McCaffrey Player Prop Picks Against TB Bucs

McCaffrey continues to dominate the fantasy and player props landscape as the undisputed RB1. He consistently ranks among the top three players in key categories such as snap share, carries, targets, and red zone touches. With an average of 21.2 touches and an impressive 120.7 total yards per game, he has proven to be a force to be reckoned with. McCaffrey’s reliability is unparalleled, with only one game where he finished outside the top tier of RBs (RB15).

Despite facing the tough Buccaneers defense in recent weeks, known for suppressing explosive runs, rushing touchdowns, and yards after contact, McCaffrey is undeterred. Just look at his remarkable display in the previous week against the Jaguars, where he shredded the defense for 22 touches and a whopping 142 total yards. We are once again betting the OVER’s for McCaffery on Sunday.

Over 31.5 Receiving Yards -115

Christian McCaffrey has exceeded 31.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games against opponents with a losing record (60.2 receiving yards/game average).

Over 69.5 Rushing Yards +100

Christian McCaffrey has exceeded 69.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 6 games after a win (80.8 rushing yards/game average).

Over 104.5 Rush + Rec Yds -115

Christian McCaffrey has exceeded 105.5 rushing + receiving yards in 6 of his last 9 games as a favorite (120.7 rushing + receiving yards/game average).

Player Props and Trends Data from Outlier.Bet

Justin Herbert Player Prop Picks Against The Packers

Despite his impressive fantasy point production, Herbert’s performance as a quarterback has been less consistent than it appears for player prop targets. While he ranks as the QB8 in fantasy points per game since Week 4, a deeper analysis reveals areas where he has struggled. In terms of statistics, Herbert has been 19th in yards per attempt and a disappointing 27th in adjusted completion rate since Week 4. Furthermore, he has experienced a higher rate of turnover-worthy plays, ranking tenth in this category during that period.

Over 259.5 Passing Yards -115

Justin Herbert has exceeded 264.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 12 games on the road as a favorite (284.5 passing yards/game average).

Over 0.5 Interceptions +130

Justin Herbert has thrown an interception in 6 of his last 9 games against top 10 passing defenses (0.8 interceptions/game average).

Under 1.5 Passing TDs +105

Justin Herbert has failed to exceed 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 of his last 12 games on the road (1.3 passing touchdowns/game average).

Player Props and Trends Data from Outlier.Bet

Jordan Love Player Props Week 11 Against Chargers

Jordan Love had a difficult matchup against the Steelers last week, but he finally put together a strong prop bet performance. Love has been tough to trust this season, and we are not ready to begin now.

Love does get a prime matchup against the Chargers, and their 32nd ranking against quarterbacks, but he’s had great matchups in the past and not put up great numbers (Vikings and Broncos). The weather will not be an issue in Green Bay on Sunday. We are riding the trends against Love on passing TD’s and yards. We do recommend a major move on Love to go over 14.5 rushing yards.

Under 1.5 Passing TDs -160

Jordan Love has failed to exceed 1.5 passing touchdowns in 15 of his last 19 games (0.9 passing touchdowns/game average).

Under 227.5 Passing Yards -110

Jordan Love has failed to exceed 226.5 passing yards in 6 of his last 8 games against opponents with a losing record (121.5 passing yards/game average).

Over 14.5 Rushing Yards -110

Jordan Love has exceeded 15.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games after a loss (27.6 rushing yards/game average).

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