NFL Player Props Best Bet: T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions

In Justin Jefferson’s absence, Hockenson has stepped up, garnering an impressive 27.9% target share and a 31.0% air-yard share with a solid 2.29 YPRR and a noteworthy 30.4% first-read share. Hockenson’s usage rates have been comparable to that of the illustrious Travis Kelce, landing him a coveted spot as the TE3 in fantasy rankings and our top NFL player prop bet for week 10.

He’s fourth in red zone targets and sits at 18th in deep targets, signaling that he’s an absolute force to be reckoned with. Nonetheless, despite the promising volume, his production remains shrouded in uncertainty based on an ever-changing QB situation in Minnesota.

Player Props Chart Performance via Outlier.Bet
Supporting Stats Data via Outlier.Bet

The upcoming game against the Saints only adds to the skepticism, as they are notorious for making it difficult for tight ends. The Saints defense has allowed only the fourth-lowest receiving yards per game and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game. Nevertheless, Hockenson’s potential is undeniable, and in the realm of tight ends, he still holds a crucial position as TE1 for Week 10.

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