NFL Best Bets Archives

NFL Player Props Best Bet: T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions

Gambling NFL Best Bets

NFL Player Props Best Bet: T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions

Byshedtheblock Updated onNovember 12, 2023

In Justin Jefferson’s absence, Hockenson has stepped up, garnering an impressive 27.9% target share and a…

NFL Best Bets

NFL Player Props Best Bets Week 9

Byshedtheblock Updated onNovember 5, 2023

Call us a bit lazy if you want, but we are consolidating our NFL best bets…

NFL Best Bets

NFL Best Bets Week 8: Breece Hall To Embarrass Giants Run Defense

Byshedtheblock Updated onOctober 29, 2023

Since being freed from a snap count in Week 5, Breece Hall has been on fire,…

MNF NFL Best Bet: Brandon Aiyuk Props Set To Scorch Vikings

NFL Best Bets

MNF NFL Best Bet: Brandon Aiyuk Props Set To Scorch Vikings

Byshedtheblock Updated onOctober 23, 2023

Aiyuk truly emerged as a force to be reckoned with last year, racking up an impressive…

Michael Mayer Props vs. Bears Gets Our Best Bet Label

NFL Best Bets

Michael Mayer Props vs. Bears Gets Our Best Bet Label

Byshedtheblock Updated onOctober 21, 2023

At long last, Michael Mayer is demonstrating the potential that fantasy owners and bettors had hoped…

NFL Best Bets

Chris Olave Props Lead NFL Best Bets for Week 7

Byshedtheblock Updated onOctober 19, 2023

Following two subpar performances in which Derek Carr struggled due to a shoulder injury, Olave managed…

Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	50-56-0	47.2%
Home Teams	56-50-0	52.8%
Favorites	67-39-0	63.2%
Dogs	39-67-0	36.8%
Away Favorites	27-16-0	62.8%
Away Dogs	23-40-0	36.5%
Home Favorites	40-23-0	63.5%
Home Dogs	16-27-0	37.2%

Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	50-50-6	50.0%
Home Teams	50-50-6	50.0%
Favorites	51-49-6	51.0%
Dogs	49-51-6	49.0%
Away Favorites	21-20-2	51.2%
Away Dogs	29-30-4	49.15%
Home Favorites	30-29-4	50.8%
Home Dogs	20-21-2	48.8%

Category	Overs	Percent	Unders	Percent
Overtime Games	4	66.7%	2	33.3%
Non-Overtime Games	37	37.4%	62	62.6%
All Games	41	39.0%	64	61.0%

Category

Overs

Percent

Unders

Percent

Overtime Games

66.7%

33.3%

Non-Overtime Games

37.4%

62.6%

All Games

39.0%

61.0%

NFL Best Bet Strategies: Increasing Your Odds of Success

Research and Analysis:
One of the fundamental pillars of successful NFL betting is thorough research and analysis. This involves studying team statistics, player performance, injury reports, weather conditions, historical data, and other relevant factors. By gathering and analyzing this information, you can gain insights into team strengths and weaknesses, identify trends, and make well-informed betting choices.

Line Shopping:
Line shopping refers to comparing the odds offered by different sportsbooks to find the best value for your bets. Since there can be slight differences in odds across various platforms, taking the time to find the most favorable lines can significantly impact your long-term profitability. Consider utilizing reputable odds comparison websites or apps to streamline the line shopping process.

Bankroll Management:
Proper bankroll management is essential for sustaining your betting activities and minimizing the risk of significant losses. Establish a dedicated budget for NFL betting and avoid placing excessively large wagers. Additionally, consider employing a staking plan, such as the Kelly Criterion, to determine the optimal size of each bet based on your perceived edge.

Focus on Specific Markets:
The NFL offers a wide range of betting markets, including moneyline, point spread, total points, and player-specific props. While it can be tempting to bet on multiple markets simultaneously, honing your expertise in one or two specific markets can be beneficial. By focusing your research and analysis on these select markets, you can develop a deeper understanding and potentially gain an edge over the sportsbooks.

Recognize and Exploit Market Inefficiencies:
Sports betting markets are not always perfect, and there can be instances where odds are mispriced due to a variety of factors. Identifying and exploiting these market inefficiencies can provide valuable opportunities for profit. Pay attention to public perception, media narratives, and any biases that may influence oddsmakers. By being aware of these factors, you can take advantage of favorable odds and potentially find value bets.

Monitor Line Movements:
Monitoring line movements involves tracking changes in betting lines after they are initially released by sportsbooks. Line movements can provide valuable insights into how the betting public and professional bettors are influencing the odds. For example, if a line moves significantly in favor of a particular team, it may indicate a strong position for that team. This information can be helpful in your decision-making process, especially if you have multiple sports betting apps to choose from like DraftKings and ESPN Bet.

Keep Emotions in Check:
Emotional betting is a common pitfall that can lead to impulsive and irrational decision-making. It is crucial to separate personal biases, fandom, and gut feelings from your analytical approach. Stick to the strategies and analysis you have developed, and avoid chasing losses or placing bets based on instinct alone.

Continuous Learning and Adaptation:
The world of sports betting, including NFL betting, is constantly evolving. To stay ahead of the curve, embrace a mindset of continuous learning and adaptation. Engage with sports betting communities, read betting-related literature, and keep up to date with the latest trends and developments in the NFL. By staying informed, you can refine your strategies and discover new opportunities for success.

Achieving long-term success in NFL betting requires a combination of disciplined research, strategic decision-making, and proper bankroll management. By employing the strategies discussed in this in-depth analysis, you can enhance your understanding of the NFL betting landscape and increase your odds of making profitable bets. Remember, patience and consistency are key, and always bet responsibly.

NFL Best Bets

NFL Player Props Best Bet: T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions

NFL Player Props Best Bets Week 9

NFL Best Bets Week 8: Breece Hall To Embarrass Giants Run Defense

MNF NFL Best Bet: Brandon Aiyuk Props Set To Scorch Vikings

Michael Mayer Props vs. Bears Gets Our Best Bet Label

Chris Olave Props Lead NFL Best Bets for Week 7

NFL Straight Up Trends (Won-Loss)

NFL Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

NFL Over VS. Under Season Trends

NFL Best Bet Strategies: Increasing Your Odds of Success