NBA Player prop Picks and Hit Rates Tonight (Monday, Nov. 27)

NBA Player Props Picks

A solid 5-game slate for Monday night has NBA bettors locking in their top NBA player props trends and hit rates on a jam-packed night of betting action.

The STB analytics staff has highlighted the top-10 NBA player props over hit rate percentages for 3pt shots made, rebounds, assists, and points.

Additionally, we have selected 8 prop bet value picks below based on hit rate, odds EV, and DvP rating.

Top 8 NBA Player Prop Value Picks for Monday:

PLAYERPROP BETGAMETREND
Paul George (LAC)Rebounds + Assists – Over 9.5 (+102)DEN vs. LAC80% L10
Paul George (LAC)Rebounds – Over 6.5 (+120)DEN vs. LAC80% L10
James Harden (LAC)Assists – Under 7.5 (+125)DEN vs. LAC70% L10
Dyson Daniels (NOP)Assists – Over 4.5 (+115)NOP vs. UTAH70% L10
Herbert Jones (NOP)Rebounds + Assists – Over 6.5 (+105)NOP vs. UTAH70% L10
Jaden Ivey (DET)Turnovers – Under 2.5 (+100)WAS vs. DET70% L10
Joel Embiid (PHI)Points + Assists – Over 39.5 (+115)PHI vs. LAL60% L10
Obi Toppin (IND)Points – Over 11.5 (-105)POR vs. IND80% L5

Joel Embiid Player Props Tonight

Embiid leads the 76ers with 32.1 points per contest (first in league) and 11.3 rebounds (fourth in the league), while also posting 6.3 assists. Joel Embiid has also had excellent success against the Lakers and Anthony Davis in the past two-plus seasons, averaging basically 30/9/5 on 50+ percent shooting from the field and posting a +49 in 119 minutes over the course of three games, all wins.

Paul George Prop Bets Tonight

Paul George has been on fire recently, showcasing his skills on the court with consistent performances for the Clippers. In his last five games, he has scored no less than 23 points and snagged at least five rebounds each time, making him a reliable option for prop bettors. Among the Clippers’ starting five, George has proven to be the most dependable, boasting an impressive average of 25.4 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season.

Obi Toppin Player Props Tonight

Obi Toppin, on the other hand, had a noteworthy display in the Pacers’ recent loss to the Raptors, scoring 16.0 points. This marked his second consecutive game with at least 15.0 points, indicating a rise in his overall productivity. His usage rate stands at 16.0 percent, with a plus-minus of -1.2. Additionally, he is currently averaging 24.0 minutes, 11.8 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 0.9 steals, and 0.3 blocks per game. His shooting percentages stand at an impressive 59.6 percent from the floor and 27.5 percent from beyond the arc.

NBA Points Prop Bet Hit Rates

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1R. WestbrookPGPointso9.5-10610/1566.7VS DEN8
2A. ReavesSGPointso13.5-10611/1764.7@ PHI15
3D. GaffordPFPointso9.5-1229/1464.3@ DET22
4T. HarrisPFPointso17.5-10610/1662.5VS LAL10
5I. StewartCPointso10.5-11510/1662.5VS WAS29
6M. TurnerCPointso16.5-1209/1560VS POR14
7H. JonesSFPointso10.5-1028/1457.1@ UTA26
8A. DavisPFPointso23.5-1049/1656.3@ PHI15
9I. ZubacCPointso9.5-1088/1553.3VS DEN8
10P. GeorgeSFPointso25.5-1118/1553.3VS DEN8

NBA Assists Prop bet Hit Rates

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. LeonardSFAssistso2.5-13812/1580VS DEN14
2A. DavisPFAssistso2.5-13812/1675@ PHI21
3J. EmbiidCAssistso5.5-14011/1573.3VS LAL19
4P. GeorgeSFAssistso2.5-17010/1566.7VS DEN14
5T. HaliburtonPGAssistso11.5-1329/1464.3VS POR18
6A. ThompsonSFAssistso2.5-17010/1662.5VS WAS30
7D. AytonCAssistso1.5-1299/1560@ IND11
8H. JonesSFAssistso2.5-1028/1457.1@ UTA28
9D. MeltonPGAssistso3.5+1069/1656.3VS LAL19
10T. MannSGAssistso2.5+1425/955.6VS DEN14

NBA Rebounds Prop Bet Hit Rates

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %NAMEDEF RANK
1D. RussellPGReboundso2.5-13614/1782.4@ PHI8
2T. MaxeySGReboundso3.5-16212/1675VS LAL19
3R. WestbrookPGReboundso4.5+10011/1573.3VS DEN6
4J. EmbiidCReboundso10.5-13810/1566.7VS LAL19
5I. ZubacCReboundso7.5-12210/1566.7VS DEN6
6N. JokicCReboundso12.5-12811/1764.7@ LAC12
7M. PorterSFReboundso6.5-13011/1764.7@ LAC12
8H. JonesSFReboundso3.5-1259/1464.3@ UTA4
9N. MarshallSFReboundso3.5-1135/862.5@ UTA4
10P. GeorgeSFReboundso6.5+1149/1560VS DEN6

NBA 3pt Shot Props Hit Rates

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %NAMEDEF RANK
1N. MarshallSF3PTMo0.5-1657/887.5@ UTA26
2J. HardenSG3PTMo1.5-1628/1080VS DEN2
3D. AvdijaSF3PTMo0.5-20012/1675@ DET3
4M. BrogdonPG3PTMo1.5-1868/1172.7@ IND1
5D. DanielsPG3PTMo0.5-16511/1764.7@ UTA26
6K. Caldwell-PopeSG3PTMo1.5-15411/1764.7@ LAC7
7C. CunninghamPG3PTMo1.5-14810/1662.5VS WAS20
8J. GrantPF3PTMo2.5-1139/1656.3@ IND1
9S. SharpeSG3PTMo1.5-1209/1656.3@ IND1
10P. GeorgeSF3PTMo3.5+1068/1553.3VS DEN2

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