Jamal Murray & Klay Thompson Lead Our Best NBA Player Prop Picks Tonight (1/4/24)

NBA Player Props Today

Just a 2-game NBA slate for Thursday night prop bet action. The STB staff is digging into every NBA player props bet trend they can find to help you find some winners.

The top NBA player prop trends for points, three-pointers, and rebounds are covered below, along with our top picks for each NBA prop category. Our picks have been cashing winning tickets on apps like PrizePicks, plus our favorite Sleeper Picks app.

🏀 Top NBA Points Prop Bet Picks Thursday

  1. Victor Wembanyama SAS (PF) Points – Over 18.5 at this points level, Victor would have gone over his total in 6 of his last 10 games. He also faces a 24th-ranked Bucks team in overall points allowed this season. Wembanyama has scores 30, 21, and 20 in his last 3 games while seeing a pullback in minutes. The spotlight matchup versus the Bucks tonight will propel the young NBA star of his total.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1G. AntetokounmpoPFPointsu34.5-1119/1090@ SAS27
2B. LopezCPointsu14.5-1137/1070@ SAS27
3T. Jackson-DavisPFPointso9.5-1287/1070VS DEN3
4K. Caldwell-PopeSGPointsu9.5-1307/1070@ GSW20
5J. SochanPFPointsu11.5-1206/1060VS MIL24
6S. CurryPGPointsu27.5-1066/1060VS DEN3
7K. ThompsonSGPointso15.5-1136/1060VS DEN3
8C. PaulPGPointsu10.5-1286/1060VS DEN3
9M. PorterSFPointsu16.5-1256/1060@ GSW20
10J. MurrayPGPointsu22.5-1066/1060@ GSW20

🏀 NBA Rebounds Prop Bet Picks Tonight

  1. Klay Thompson GSW (SG) Rebounds – Over 2.5 would have cashed over tickets in 80% of his last 20 games at this rebound prop total. Klay faces a Nuggets team in which he has grabbed more than 2.5 boards in 9 of the 11 matchups over the past 2 seasons.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1J. KumingaPFReboundso4.5-1407/1070VS DEN13
2S. CurryPGReboundsu3.5+1007/1070VS DEN13
3K. ThompsonSGReboundso2.5-1567/1070VS DEN13
4M. PorterSFReboundsu6.5+1107/1070@ GSW15
5D. LillardPGReboundsu4.5-1546/1060@ SAS29
6N. JokicCReboundsu12.5+1006/1060@ GSW15
7A. GordonPFReboundsu5.5+1166/1060@ GSW15
8K. Caldwell-PopeSGReboundso2.5+1106/1060@ GSW15
9J. SochanPFReboundso5.5-1285/1050VS MIL20
10J. SochanPFReboundsu5.5+1005/1050VS MIL20

🏀 Top 3pt Player Prop Picks Tonight

  1. Jamal Murray DEN (PG) Three Pointers – Over 2.5: Murray’s 3pt prop bet hit rate at this level of 2.5 would be 60% over his last 5 games, but 100% in his last 3 matchups against the Warriors.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. ThompsonSG3PTMo2.5-1568/1080VS DEN5
2G. AntetokounmpoPF3PTMu0.5-1257/1070@ SAS30
3J. KumingaPF3PTMo0.5-1806/1060VS DEN5
4S. CurryPG3PTMu4.5-1116/1060VS DEN5
5C. PaulPG3PTMu1.5+1006/1060VS DEN5
6A. GordonPF3PTMu0.5-1456/1060@ GSW11
7K. Caldwell-PopeSG3PTMu1.5-1226/1060@ GSW11
8J. SochanPF3PTMo0.5-1455/1050VS MIL6
9J. SochanPF3PTMu0.5+1145/1050VS MIL6
10V. WembanyamaPF3PTMo1.5+1145/1050VS MIL6

📊 Thursday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bet Hit Rates

The top 10 NBA player props OVER hit rates (Last 10 games) for Thursday are listed below, with a minimum odds threshold of -200.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1V. WembanyamaPFSTL+BLKo3.5-1049/1090VS MIL3
2J. MurrayPGSTL+BLKo1.5-1159/1090@ GSW19
3V. WembanyamaPFAssistso2.5-1508/1080VS MIL16
4V. WembanyamaPFBlockso2.5+1188/1080VS MIL19
5K. ThompsonSGREB+ASTo4.5-1458/1080VS DEN6
6K. ThompsonSG3PTMo2.5-1568/1080VS DEN5
7N. JokicCSTL+BLKo1.5-1848/1080@ GSW19
8K. Caldwell-PopeSGREB+ASTo4.5-1278/1080@ GSW19
9V. WembanyamaPFPTS+REBo27.5-1257/1070VS MIL3
10V. WembanyamaPFP+A+Ro30.5-1227/1070VS MIL3

A new NBA feature on ShedtheBlock.com is providing the most popular NBA player props from DraftKings. NBA public betting data is needed now more than ever with the surge in prop bet activity. Seeing which NBA props are getting the most attention from bettors is a great strategy for building winning picks and parlays.

🏀 Most Bet NBA POINTS Player Props On DraftKings

Available later today


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