NFL Best Bets

Chris Olave Props Lead NFL Best Bets for Week 7

Following two subpar performances in which Derek Carr struggled due to a shoulder injury, Olave managed to bounce back and secure a favorable top-15 placement in Week 6. The second-year wide receiver currently holds the WR20 position for the season, but a closer look at his underlying statistics suggests that there is more potential awaiting him.

Best Bets for Thursday Night

STB is all in on the “OVER” for Chris Olave receiving yards and longest reception player props Thursday night against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

A +180 line to score a TD is obviously tempting and well worth a flyer at almost 2-1 odds.

Chris Olave Props vs. Jags Week 7Odds
Over 61.5 yds receiving-115
Score a TD+180
Longest reception Over 23.5-115
Odds from DraftKings

Matchup Report: Jags DefenseRank
DvP rank WR’s23/32
RZ Targets allowed to WR’s23/32
RZ G2G22/32
Numerous injuries in Jags secondary sets up game narrative
Trevor Lawrence injury should lead to less offensive efficiency and have the Jags defense on the field longer.

Impressively, Olave is ranked 10th in targets, having been targeted 54 times, which equates to an average of nine opportunities per game. However, this figure rises to an impressive 10.8 targets per game when the two games affected by Carr’s injury are omitted.

Historically, wide receivers who receive between eight and 10 targets per game have earned the WR15 designation, exhibiting an average of 16.0 points per game. Meanwhile, those who manage to secure between ten to 12 targets per game have soared to the WR4 position and showcased an average of 20.5 points per game.

Given these comparisons, it becomes evident that Olave possesses considerable room for improvement, as his current WR20 standing belies his true potential. This makes him an enticing option for astute fantasy managers and bettors who may not yet fully appreciate his upside.

Chris Olave Props Performance L10 Games

Receiving Yards57.8556.940%

In the last 10 games, Chris Olave has averaged 56.9 receiving yards and has hit the over 40% of the time.

In the last 10 games, Chris Olave has averaged 4.4 receptions and has hit the over 50% of the time.

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