NFL Best Bet Tonight: Brandon Aiyuk Props Set To Scorch Vikings

Aiyuk truly emerged as a force to be reckoned with last year, racking up an impressive 1,015 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. His exceptional performance has carried over into this season, as evidenced by his 22 receptions for 411 yards and two touchdowns on 31 targets in his four complete games (he was sidelined in Week 2 due to a shoulder injury and missed Week 3).

When considering the entire season, Aiyuk reigns as the leader in the league with an astounding 52.7% air share. Furthermore, he may have the opportunity for additional targets this week with both running back Christian McCaffrey (oblique) and wide receiver Deebo Samuel (shoulder) uncertain to play. It’s worth noting that the Vikings’ defense ranks third worst in terms of allowing the most fantasy points to wide receivers, averaging 43.2 FPPG on NFL.com

Aiyuk Props Leads Best Bets For Monday Night

STB is all in on the “OVER” for Brandon Aiyuk receiving yards and scoring a TD prop Monday night against the Minnesota Vikings

Brandon Aiyuk Props vs. Vikings MNF Week 7	Odds
Over 65.5 yds receiving	-125
Score a TD	+140
Longest reception	TBA

Odds from DraftKings

Matchup vs. Vikings & Game Narrative	Rank
DvP rank WR’s	29/32
RZ Targets allowed to WR’s	23/32
RZ G2G	9th worst
Game Total	44 pts
SF Team Total	25.5 pts

Source: NFL.com

Air yardage shares over the past month:

62% — Brandon Aiyuk
52% — Tyreek Hill
48% — DJ Moore, Ja’Marr Chase, Marquise Brown, Amari Cooper, A.J. Brown
46% — Stefon Diggs, Garrett Wilson
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) October 16, 2023

By The Numbers

Currently, Aiyuk holds the WR15 position in fantasy, poised for a remarkable season as he is on pace to secure 85 catches and accumulate 1,544 receiving yards. Notably, Aiyuk boasts a 29.1% target share, an impressive 52.2% air-yard share, a 4.02 yards per route run (YPRR), and a 33.7% share as the first-read option. Among wide receivers, he ranks 16th in deep targets and has also received four red zone targets.

The Minnesota defense predominantly relies on zone coverage for approximately 70% of their coverage snaps. Against this zone coverage, Aiyuk commands a 29.9% target share, a 4.36 YPRR, and his first-read share rises to 36.4%. Aiyuk’s dominance is truly astounding.

It’s important to note that he will be matched up against Byron Murphy, who has a 73% catch rate and a 113.3 passer rating, as well as Akayleb Evans, who has a 72% catch rate and a 120.6 passer rating. The Minnesota defense has yielded the ninth-highest number of PPR points to perimeter wide receivers. In terms of positional value, Aiyuk by far ranks as our top NFL Best Bet for week 7 player props.