Bills vs. Broncos Player Props Trends & Picks

As we have mentioned quite a few times here at STB, we are building the plane while it is in the air when it comes to player props trends and picks.

An example was our best bet yesterday with TJ Hockenson hitting with ease, while we scramble to update tonight’s Bills vs. Broncos prop bet trends below.

Below are the player prop bets seeing the most action tonight on DraftKings for the Broncos/Bills tilt.

  1. Josh Allen Passing Touchdowns – Over 1.5 (-190)
  2. Josh Allen Alternate Passing Yards – 225+ (-525)
  3. Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards – Over 52.5 (-125)
  4. Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards – Over 37.5 (-115)
  5. Dalton Kincaid Receptions – Over 5.5 (+105)

We have compiled a list of Josh Allen prop bets that are hitting at a rate of 70% or above.

📈Josh Allen has exceeded 274.5 passing yards in 6 of his last 7 games against bottom 10 passing defenses (330.9 passing yards/game average).

➡️ Over 274.5 Passing Yards +100

📈Josh Allen has exceeded 33.5 passing attempts in 10 of his last 11 games against bottom 10 passing defenses (40.6 passing attempts/game average).

➡️ Over 33.5 Passing Attempts -154

📈Josh Allen has failed to exceed 33.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games at home as a favorite (19.0 rushing yards/game average).

➡️ Under 33.5 Rushing Yards -110

📈Josh Allen has exceeded 1.5 passing touchdowns in 8 straight games when favored by a touchdown or more (2.6 passing touchdowns/game average).

➡️ Over 1.5 Passing TDs -184

📊Josh Allen Over 0.5 INT = 100% L5, 80% L10 (-135 on DraftKings)

📊Josh Allen Under 37.5 Long Pass Cmp = 80% L5, 70% L10 (-115 on DraftKings)

📊Josh Allen Under 11.5 Longest Rush = 80% L5, 70% L10 (-114 on FanDuel)

📊Josh Allen Over 33.5 Passing Attempts = 80% L5, 70% L10 (-154 on FanDuel)


James Cook is facing the #32-ranked Broncos rush D

James Cook is facing the worst rushing defense in the NFL tonight as the Broncos visit Buffalo. The odds for Cooks’ props are on the move, so you may want to jump on them ASAP if you like the over.

📈Cook’s rushing yards prop has moved from 55.5 to 57.5 yards on DK.

📈 Cook’s receiving yards prop has moved from 17.5 to 18.5 yards on DK.

📈 His longest rush prop is flat at 12.5 yards.

James Cook has exceeded 58.5 rushing yards in 4 straight games after a loss (86.8 rushing yards/game average).

➡️ Over 58.5 Rushing Yards -110 FanDuel

James Cook has failed to exceed 18.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 12 games at home (11.2 receiving yards/game average).

➡️ Under 18.5 Receiving Yards -110 FanDuel


📈Stefon Diggs has exceeded 6.5 receptions in 6 of his last 9 games (7.8 receptions/game average).

➡️ Over 6.5 Receptions -140

📈Stefon Diggs has failed to exceed 86.5 rushing + receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games against bottom 10 scoring defenses (76.6 rushing + receiving yards/game average).

➡️ Under 86.5 Rush + Rec Yds -115

📈Javonte Williams has failed to exceed 76.5 rushing + receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games as an underdog (52.2 rushing + receiving yards/game average).

➡️ Under 76.5 Rush + Rec Yds -110

📈Javonte Williams has failed to exceed 55.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 8 games (48.1 rushing yards/game average).

➡️ Under 55.5 Rushing Yards -110

📈Javonte Williams has failed to exceed 16.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games after a win (13.9 receiving yards/game average).

➡️ Under 16.5 Receiving Yards -105

📈Russell Wilson has failed to exceed 4.5 rushing attempts in 15 of his last 20 games (3.9 rushing attempts/game average).

➡️ Under 4.5 Rushing Attempts -135

📈Russell Wilson has thrown an interception in 9 straight games on the road against top 10 scoring defenses (1.6 interceptions/game average).

➡️ Over 0.5 Interceptions -115

📈Russell Wilson has failed to exceed 22.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 9 games on the road (15.8 rushing yards/game average).

➡️ Under 22.5 Rushing Yards -120

Samaje Perine Prop Bet Trend

📈Samaje Perine has exceeded 13.5 receiving yards in 8 straight games (28.9 receiving yards/game average).

➡️ Over 13.5 Receiving Yards -110

Jerry Jeudy Prop Bet Trend

📈Jerry Jeudy has failed to exceed 4.5 receptions in 10 of his last 11 games against top 10 scoring defenses (2.4 receptions/game average).

➡️ Under 4.5 Receptions -130

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