Best NBA Player Props Today: Trends and Hit Rates (Feb. 28)

NBA Player Props Picks

We roll out 3 more NBA player props cheat sheet picks for Wednesday 2/28/24 with PrizePicks and Sleeper Fantasy targets.

Our top targets tonight:

  1. Michael Porter Jr.
  2. RJ Barrett
  3. Darius Garland

Everyone needs a starting point or cheat sheet for their NBA DFS pickโ€™em research each day. That is what we hope this post can be for you when making your NBA picks on Sleeper App, Dabble Fantasy, and PrizePicks tonight.

The ShedtheBlock team also provides the best NBA props hit rate trends and streaks for players who are active tonight. Seeing which NBA props are getting the most attention from DFS players is a great strategy for building winning picks on apps like PrizePicks.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best PrizePicks & Sleeper Fantasy NBA Picks Tonight

RJ Barrett TOR (SG) Points – Over 20.5

At this point level, RJ would have gone over his total in 70% of his last 10 games and 60% of his previous 20 games. He faces a 20th-ranked Pistons team in overall points allowed this season and 24th ranked to opposing SG’s.

Barrett has scored 20 or more in 13 of 20. We get the over tonight against a soft Mavs defense.

RJ Barrett vs. Mavs DefenseRankVs. SGPrizePicks
Points Allowed2024O/U 20.5

RJ BarrettSleeper FantasyBetr Picks PromoDabble Fantasy
O/U Points20.520.520
RJ Barrett PrizePicks

Darius Garland CLE (PG)Three Pointers – Over 1.5

Darius will face a Bulls defense on Wednesday that ranks 29th for most 3-pointers allowed in the NBA overall and ranks 12th for 3’s allowed to SG’s.

Garland has been RED HOT from the beyond the arc over the past 20 games hitting 60% of his 3pt prop at this level. We get another easy winner tonight.

Darius Garland vs. Bulls DefenseRankVs. SGPrizePicks
3-PT Allowed2912O/U 1.5

Darius GarlandSleeper FantasyBetr PicksDabble Fantasy
O/U 3pt1.51.51.5
Darius Garland Props

Michael Porter Jr. DEN (SF) Rebounds – Over 6.5

Porter would have cashed over tickets in 60% of his last 10 games at this rebound prop total and 50% of his previous 20 games. He faces a Kings team tonight that ranks 10th in the NBA for rebounds allowed overall and 6th to opposing SF’s.

Certainly not a DvP play tonight on Porter as the Kings are solid on the boards. 6.5 rebs is just a soft number any night for Porter and we need to jump on it.

Michael Porter Jr. vs. Kings DefenseRankVs. SFPrizePicks
Rebounds Allowed106O/U 5

Michael Porter Jr.Sleeper PicksBetr Picks PromoChalkboard
O/U Reb’s6.56.56.5
Michael Porter Jr. Props
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RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1D. RussellPG3PTMo2.5-10816/2080@ LAC11
2T. HardawaySG3PTMo1.5-17515/2075@ TOR21
3R. JacksonPG3PTMo0.5-15015/2075VS SAC19
4L. JamesSF3PTMo1.5-13215/2075@ LAC11
5J. GreenSG3PTMo1.5+14214/2070@ TOR21
6A. DosunmuSG3PTMo1.5-11314/2070VS CLE8
7M. ConleyPG3PTMo1.5-17814/2070VS MEM18
8A. ReavesSG3PTMo1.5-11514/2070@ LAC11
9J. JacksonC3PTMo1.5-17913/2065@ MIN2
10L. DoncicPG3PTMo3.5-15412/2060@ TOR21
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1S. AldamaPFReboundso4.5-13615/2075@ MIN3
2M. StrusSFReboundso3.5-13814/2070@ CHI16
3R. BarrettSGReboundso5.5-14813/2065VS DAL27
4T. HardawaySGReboundso2.5-16013/2065@ TOR17
5E. MobleyCReboundso8.5-11113/2065@ CHI16
6M. ConleyPGReboundso2.5-12013/2065VS MEM29
7J. McDanielsPFReboundso2.5-15413/2065VS MEM29
8R. HachimuraPFReboundso3.5-16013/2065@ LAC5
9J. PoeltlCReboundso8.5-13212/2060VS DAL27
10K. IrvingPGReboundso5.5+10812/2060@ TOR17

NBA Points Player Prop Hit Rate L20 Games

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1D. RussellPGPointso17.5-12815/2075@ LAC10
2A. ReavesSGPointso13.5-12815/2075@ LAC10
3J. GreenSGPointso8.5-11114/2070@ TOR21
4L. JamesSFPointso23.5-11514/2070@ LAC10
5J. PoeltlCPointso11.5-12213/2065VS DAL20
6L. DoncicPGPointso32.5-12213/2065@ TOR21
7N. VucevicCPointso18.5-11013/2065VS CLE2
8D. MitchellSGPointso25.5-12513/2065@ CHI12
9J. JacksonCPointso23.5-11513/2065@ MIN1
10A. CoffeySGPointso6.5-13513/2065VS LAL19
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Best NBA Player Prop Records Last 30 Games

The chart below denotes the best over or under player prop records over the last 30 games for players active tonight in the NBA. We also capped the odds at -200 to keep the picks and sorting within reason for your pick potential.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1N. PowellSGTurnoversu1.5-15726/3086.7VS LAL20
2N. PowellSGPTS+REBu22.5-11525/3083.3VS LAL18
3N. PowellSGPTS+ASTu20.5-12525/3083.3VS LAL18
4M. StrusSFTurnoverso0.5-18424/3080@ CHI3
5J. AllenCAssistso1.5-10824/3080@ CHI23
6E. MobleyCP+A+Ro24.5-11324/3080@ CHI19
7N. PowellSGP+A+Ru23.5-11524/3080VS LAL18
8T. HardawaySG3PTMo1.5-17523/3076.7@ TOR21
9B. MathurinSGReboundsu5.5-14223/3076.7VS NOP9
10A. DosunmuSGAssistsu4.5-15623/3076.7VS CLE2

ShedtheBlock.com provides the most popular NBA player props from DraftKings. NBA public betting percentages data is needed now more than ever with the surge in prop bet activity. Seeing which NBA props are getting the most attention from bettors is a great strategy for building winning picks and parlays.

  1. Luka Doncic Points – Under 33.5 -125
  2. Jamal Murray Points – Under 22.5 -125
  3. Anthony Davis Points – Over 24.5 -110
  4. Zion Williamson Points – Over 23.5 -140
  5. Kawhi Leonard Points – Over 25.5 -120
  1. LeBron James Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -135
  2. Austin Reaves Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -130
  3. Max Strus Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -145
  4. D’Angelo Russell Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 -115
  5. Luka Doncic Three Pointers Made – Over 3.5 -166
  1. LeBron James Rebounds – Over 6.5 -125
  2. Nikola Vucevic Rebounds – Under 10.5 -135
  3. Scottie Barnes Rebounds – Over 7.5 -160
  4. Ivica Zubac Rebounds – Over 9.5 -130
  5. Kawhi Leonard Rebounds – Over 6.5 -135

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  • Amazing app design!
  • Every pick has dynamic and variable payout multipliers.
  • $500 deposit match is an industry best

$500 Deposit Match For New Players

4.8
  • Chalkboard Fantasy is a pickโ€™em style DFS app
  • Users build lineups that consist of 2 or more players
  • Payouts can be up to 100x your entry fee!

๐Ÿ”ฅ Use Promo Code STB when signing up with Chalkboard Fantasy


4.7
  • DFS Pick'em app with insane growth in '24
  • Very easy to use
  • Play fast with Paypal and Apple Pay

๐Ÿ”ฅ Use Promo Code STB when signing up with Dabble Fantasy

๐Ÿ’ฐ Get $10 FREE just for downloading/signing up with Dabble using our STB promo code.

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  • Betr Picks is a pickโ€™em style daily fantasy sports game.
  • Users build lineups that consist of 2 or more players
  • Payouts can be up to 300x an entry fee!

$250 NO SWEAT ENTRY FOR NEW PLAYERS

4.5
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