Best NBA Player Prop Picks And Trends Tonight (12/22/23)

NBA Player Props Today

A sneaky good 6-game NBA slate for Friday night prop bet action has the STB staff and bettors alike digging into every NBA player props bet trend they can find.

The top NBA player prop bet trends for points, three-pointers, and rebounds are covered below, along with our top picks for each prop bet category.

๐Ÿ€ Top NBA Points Prop Bet Picks Friday

  1. Trae Young ATL(PG) Points – Over 27.5 (-121) at the points level, Young would have gone under his total of 8 of his last 10 games and all 5 of his previous 5 games.
  2. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DEN (SG) Points – Over 8.5 (-110) at this points prop total, KCP has gone over his points total of 7 of 10 games. He also faces a 19th-ranked Nets team in overall points allowed this season
  3. Joel Embiid PHI (C) Points – Over 35.5 (-125): Embiid is facing a 17th-ranked Raptors team in Points allowed this season. At 35.5 pts, Embiid would have gone over this total in all 5 of his previous 5 games.
Joel Embiid Points Over-UnderPrizePicksBetr PicksChalkboardUnderdog FantasyVivid Picks
Friday night vs. Raptors35.535.535.535.536.5
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. Caldwell-PopeSGPointso8.5-11515/2075@ BRO19
2K. MurraySFPointsu17.5-12215/2075VS PHX15
3K. DurantSFPointsu31.5-11314/2070@ SAC22
4J. KumingaPFPointsu13.5-11814/2070VS WAS30
5J. PoeltlCPointso9.5+10213/2065@ PHI6
6A. GordonPFPointso13.5-10213/2065@ BRO19
7T. HerroSGPointsu24.5-11113/2065VS ATL28
8B. AdebayoCPointsu22.5-12013/2065VS ATL28
9F. VanVleetPGPointsu20.5-11313/2065VS DAL21
10D. FoxPGPointsu30.5-11513/2065VS PHX15

๐Ÿ€ NBA Rebounds Prop Bet Picks Tonight

  1. Klay Thompson GSW (SG) Rebounds – Over 4. (+120) would have cashed over tickets in 6 of his last 10 games at this prop total. Klay faces a 30th-ranked Wizards team for rebounds allowed this season.
  2. Joel Embiid PHI (C) Rebounds – Over 11.5 (-135) would have cashed over tickets at an 80% clip in his last 5 games at this prop total. Embiid faces an 18th-ranked Raptors team in rebounds allowed to opposing Centers this season.
  3. Jabari Smith Jr. HOU (PF) Rebounds – Over 9.5 (-110): Smith faces a 227th-ranked Mavs team for rebounds allowed this season. At 9. 5 rebs, Smith would have an OVER hit rate of 60% in his last 10 games.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1M. BridgesSFReboundso4.5-13614/2070VS DEN10
2C. JohnsonPFReboundso4.5-12014/2070VS DEN10
3S. DinwiddiePGReboundso3.5-14614/2070VS DEN10
4A. SengunCReboundsu9.5-10814/2070VS DAL27
5K. DurantSFReboundsu7.5-13614/2070@ SAC16
6C. ThomasSGReboundsu3.5-13613/2065VS DEN10
7A. GordonPFReboundso6.5-10613/2065@ BRO21
8K. Caldwell-PopeSGReboundsu2.5-14013/2065@ BRO21
9J. SmithPFReboundsu9.5-11113/2065VS DAL27
10J. KumingaPFReboundsu4.5-11113/2065VS WAS30

๐Ÿ€ Top 3pt Player Prop Picks Tonight

  1. Dillon Brooks HOU (SF) Three Pointers – Over 1.5 (-145): Brooks faces a 16th-ranked Mavs team in 3-pointers allowed this season. Brook’s 3pt prop bet hit rate at this level of 1.5 would be 80% over his last 5 games.
  2. Mikal Bridges BKN (SF) Three Pointers โ€“ Over 2.5 (+130): Bridges has a 60% hit rate L10 games at this prop bet level.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. MurraySF3PTMu3.5-16215/2075VS PHX9
2C. ThomasSG3PTMu2.5-12013/2065VS DEN4
3S. DinwiddiePG3PTMu2.5-17013/2065VS DEN4
4S. BeySF3PTMo1.5-18013/2065@ MIA19
5J. GreenSG3PTMo1.5-19213/2065VS DAL16
6D. FoxPG3PTMu3.5-18413/2065VS PHX9
7G. AllenSG3PTMu2.5-17213/2065@ SAC14
8K. DurantSF3PTMo1.5-15813/2065@ SAC14
9D. BookerSG3PTMu2.5-17813/2065@ SAC14
10T. MaxeyPG3PTMu3.5-15012/2060VS TOR15

๐Ÿ“Š Fridayโ€™s Best NBA Player Prop Bet Hit Rates

The top 10 NBA player props hit rates (Last 20 games) for Friday are listed below, with a minimum odds threshold of -135. If you are focused on UNDER trends for NBA player props, tonight is your night.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. Caldwell-PopeSGAssistso1.5-14217/2085@ BRO14
2K. Caldwell-PopeSGP+A+Ro12.5-12717/2085@ BRO20
3K. ThompsonSGSTL+BLKu1.5-19417/2085VS WAS28
4C. ThomasSGTurnoversu2.5-16916/2080VS DEN1
5K. Caldwell-PopeSGPTS+ASTo10.5-10516/2080@ BRO20
6F. VanVleetPGPTS+ASTu30.5-11116/2080VS DAL11
7F. VanVleetPGP+A+Ru35.5-11816/2080VS DAL11
8S. CurryPGREB+ASTu10.5+10416/2080VS WAS28
9O. AnunobySFSTL+BLKu1.5-15415/2075@ PHI4
10C. JohnsonPFTurnoverso0.5-19915/2075VS DEN1

A new NBA feature on ShedtheBlock.com is providing the most popular NBA player props from DraftKings. NBA public betting data is needed now more than ever with the surge in prop bet activity. Seeing which NBA props are getting the most attention from bettors is a great strategy for building winning picks and parlays.

๐Ÿ€ Most Bet NBA Points Player Props Friday On DraftKings

1. Tyler Herro Points – Over 24.5 -120

2. OG Anunoby Points – Over 12.5 -166

3. Joel Embiid Points – Over 35.5 -130

4. Nikola Jokic Points – Over 26.5 -145

5. Pascal Siakam Points – Under 21.5 -110

1. Kevin Durant Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -145

2. Dillon Brooks Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -145

3. Devin Booker Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 +140

4. Joel Embiid Three Pointers Made – Over 0.5 -190

5. Kyle Lowry Three Pointers Made – Over 1.5 -115

1. Domantas Sabonis Rebounds – Over 12.5 -150

2. Scottie Barnes Rebounds – Over 7.5 -150

3. Kevin Durant Rebounds – Under 7.5 -150

4. Joel Embiid Rebounds – Over 11.5 -160

5. Domantas Sabonis Rebounds – Under 12.5 +120


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  • $500 deposit match is an industry best
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  • Users build lineups that consist of 2 or more players
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