Best NBA Player Prop Picks And Hit Rates Tonight (12/15/23)

NBA Player Props Today

An exciting 8-game NBA slate for Friday night prop bet action has the STB staff and bettors alike digging into every NBA player props bet trend they can find.

The top NBA player prop bet trends for points, three-pointers, and rebounds are covered below, along with our top picks for each prop bet category.

Additionally, the most popular NBA player props on DraftKings for Friday night will be provided at the bottom of this post later today.

🏀 Top NBA Points Prop Bet Picks Friday

  1. Kevin Durant PHX (SF) Points – Over 27.5 (-105) at this points pop bet level, Durant would have gone under his total of 8 of his last 10 games. He is also facing a 22nd-ranked Knicks team in Points allowed to SF this season
  2. CJ McCollum NOP (SG) Points – Over 18.5 (-105) at this points prop bet total, CJ has gone over his points total of 7 of 10 games.
  3. Tyrese Maxey PHI (PG) Points – Over 24.5 (-125) Maxey is facing a 29th-ranked Pistons team in Points allowed to PG this season. At 24.5 pts, Maxey would have gone over this total in 7 of his last 10 games.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1B. MathurinSGPointsu16.5-12517/2277.3@ WAS30
2N. RichardsCPointsu10.5-10612/1675VS NOP17
3P. SiakamPFPointsu25.5-11318/2475VS ATL28
4J. EmbiidCPointsu35.5-12214/2070VS DET23
5K. DurantSFPointso27.5-10614/2070VS NYK6
6K. KuzmaPFPointsu25.5-12516/2369.6VS IND29
7D. AvdijaSFPointsu14.5-12216/2369.6VS IND29
8J. BrunsonPGPointsu25.5-11816/2369.6@ PHX13
9T. RozierPGPointsu24.5-1049/1369.2VS NOP17
10J. ValanciunasCPointsu15.5-11817/2568@ CHA26

🏀 NBA Rebounds Prop Bet Picks Tonight

  1. Scottie Barnes TOR(SF) Rebounds – Over 8.5 (-135) would have cashed over tickets in 8 of his last 10 games at this prop total. 22d ranked Hawks
  2. Devin Booker PHX (SG) Rebounds – Over 4.5 (-120) would have cashed over tickets in 8 of his last 10 games at this prop total.
  3. Gordon Hayward CHA (SF) Rebounds – Over 4.5 (-125) Hayward faces a 19th-ranked Pelicans team for rebounds allowed this season. At 4.5 rebs, Gordon would have an OVER hit rate of 70% in his last 10 games.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1A. SengunCReboundsu10.5-12817/2181.0@ MEM26
2B. HieldSGReboundsu4.5+11217/2277.3@ WAS30
3N. RichardsCReboundsu9.5-10412/1675VS NOP19
4D. AvdijaSFReboundsu6.5-10817/2373.9VS IND11
5D. BookerSGReboundso4.5-12511/1573.3VS NYK2
6J. ValanciunasCReboundsu11.5-10218/2572@ CHA23
7J. SmithPFReboundsu9.5-13215/2171.4@ MEM26
8Z. WilliamsonPFReboundsu6.5-12014/2070@ CHA23
9L. JamesSFReboundsu8.5-12815/2365.2@ SAS28
10V. WembanyamaPFReboundsu11.5+10414/2263.6VS LAL21

🏀 Top 3pt Player Prop Picks Tonight

  1. Miles Bridges CHA (SF) Three Pointers – Over 1.5 (-165) Bridges faces a 25th-ranked Pelicans team in 3-pointers allowed this season. Miles’ 3pt prop bet hit rate at this level of 1.5 would be 80% over his last 10 games.
  2. Fred VanVleet HOU (PG) Three Pointers – Over 2.5 (-160) 70% hit rate L10 games at this prop bet level. Faces a 29th-ranked Memphis team in 3pt allowed this season.
  3. Jeremy Sochan SAS (PF) Three Pointers – Over 0.5 (-145) Sochan faces a 26th-ranked Lakers team in 3pt allowed this season. Sochan has a 60% hit rate on OVER 0.5 3-pointers over his past 10 games.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1B. MillerSF3PTMu2.5-12012/2060VS NOP25
2O. AnunobySF3PTMu2.5-13212/2060VS ATL21
3M. TurnerC3PTMu1.5-12813/2259.1@ WAS16
4C. McCollumSG3PTMo2.5-1087/1258.3@ CHA24
5J. SmithPF3PTMo1.5+11412/2157.1@ MEM29
6J. ValanciunasC3PTMu0.5-13514/2556.0@ CHA24
7T. HaliburtonPG3PTMu3.5-12211/2055.0@ WAS16
8D. SchroderPG3PTMu1.5-12213/2454.2VS ATL21
9J. NurkicC3PTMu0.5-10513/2454.2VS NYK18
10D. BrooksSG3PTMu1.5-10411/2152.4@ MEM29

📊 Friday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bet Hit Rates

The top 10 NBA player props hit rates (Last 10 games) for Friday are listed below, with a minimum odds threshold of -135. If you are focused on UNDER trends for NBA player props, tonight is your night. The top prop bet hit rates for all categories are “UNDER” results tonight.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1N. RichardsCREB+ASTu10.5-10614/1687.5VS NOP16
2D. AvdijaSFP+A+Ru26.5-12219/2382.6VS IND11
3B. HieldSGP+A+Ru23.5-12218/2281.8@ WAS28
4A. SengunCReboundsu10.5-12817/2181.0@ MEM26
5J. ValanciunasCREB+ASTu14.5-12120/2580@ CHA25
6P. SiakamPFPTS+REBu32.5-10819/2479.2VS ATL22
7D. AvdijaSFREB+ASTu11.5-11118/2378.3VS IND11
8B. HieldSGREB+ASTu7.5-10417/2277.3@ WAS28
9B. HieldSGReboundsu4.5+11217/2277.3@ WAS30
10B. MathurinSGPointsu16.5-12517/2277.3@ WAS30

A new NBA feature on ShedtheBlock.com is providing the most popular NBA player props from DraftKings. The betting public is always craving as much information from the sportsbooks as possible. Seeing which NBA prop bets are getting the most attention from bettors is a great strategy for building winning picks and parlays.

🏀 Top 5 Most Bet NBA Points Player Props Friday on DraftKings

1. Tyrese Maxey Points – Over 24.5 -150

2. Devin Vassell Points – Over 16.5 -160

3. Buddy Hield Points – Under 14.5 +110

4. Trae Young Points – Under 29.5 +105

5. Joel Embiid Points – Over 34.5 -110

1. Tyrese Haliburton Rebounds – Over 4.5 -140

2. Victor Wembanyama Rebounds – Under 11.5 +124

3. Buddy Hield Rebounds – Under 4.5 +120

4. Victor Wembanyama Rebounds – Over 11.5 -160

5. Joel Embiid Rebounds – Over 11.5 -115

1. CJ McCollum Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 -115

2. Fred VanVleet Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 -166

3. Jonas Valanciunas Three Pointers Made – Under 0.5 -135

4. Tyrese Maxey Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 -166

5. LeBron James Three Pointers Made – Over 2.5 +114


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  • $500 deposit match is an industry best
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