3 Must Have NBA Player Prop Picks And Trends Thursday 1/11/24

NBA Player Props Today

A 5-game NBA slate for Thursday night NBA prop bet action has us seeing dollar signs again after a 3-0 sweep last night. The STB staff is digging into every NBA player props trend they can find to help provide you with a winning night of picks

The top NBA player prop trends for points, three-pointers, and rebounds are covered below, along with our top picks for each NBA player prop category. Our picks have been cashing winning tickets on apps like PrizePicks, plus our favorite DFS Pick’em app Sleeper Picks.

๐Ÿ€ NBA Player Prop Picks Tonight ๐Ÿ€

  1. Jalen Williams (OKC) over 17.5 points Thursday night vs. Portland
  2. Anfernee Simons (POR) over 3.5 rebounds Thursday vs. OKC
  3. Donte DiVincenzo (NYK) over 2.5 3-pointers Thursday vs. Dallas

๐Ÿ’ฐ Jalen Williams Over 17.5 Points Prop Bet

  1. Jalen Williams OKC (SG) Points – Over 17.5: At this point level, Jalen would have gone over his total in 7 of his last 10 games and 80% of his previous 5 games. He faces a 17th-ranked Portland team in overall points allowed this season. Toronto also ranks 30th in the NBA for points allowed to SGโ€™s this season.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1S. Gilgeous-AlexanderSGPointso31.5-1118/1080VS POR17
2C. JohnsonPFPointso15.5-1357/1070@ CLE6
3D. Finney-SmithPFPointso8.5-1227/1070@ CLE6
4C. HolmgrenPFPointso17.5-1047/1070VS POR17
5A. SimonsSGPointso22.5-1157/1070@ OKL15
6K. DurantSFPointso26.5-1187/1070@ LAL16
7K. MiddletonSFPointso15.5-1286/1060VS BOS3
8M. BeasleySGPointso8.5-1066/1060VS BOS3
9J. TatumSFPointso27.5-1136/1060@ MIL24
10J. BrunsonPGPointso26.5-1256/1060@ DAL20


๐Ÿ’ฐ Anfernee Simons Over Rebounds Prop Bet

  1. Anfernee Simons POR (SG) Rebounds – Over 3.5: Simmons would have cashed over tickets in 100% of his last 5 games and 70% of his last 10 games at this rebound prop total. He faces an OKC team that ranks 26 in the NBA for rebounds allowed overall and 18th specifically to SG’s.
RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1N. ClaxtonCReboundso10.5-1157/1070@ CLE7
2A. SimonsSGReboundso3.5-1117/1070@ OKL25
3J. AllenCReboundso11.5-1346/1060VS BRO21
4D. WadePFReboundso4.5+1206/1060VS BRO21
5K. PorzingisPFReboundso6.5-1326/1060@ MIL19
6S. Gilgeous-AlexanderSGReboundso5.5-1386/1060VS POR24
7T. CamaraPFReboundso5.5+1106/1060@ OKL25
8K. IrvingPGReboundso5.5-1486/1060VS NYK1
9J. NurkicCReboundso9.5-1156/1060@ LAL20
10G. AllenSGReboundso3.5-1206/1060@ LAL20

๐Ÿ’ฐ Donte Divencenzo Over 3-Pointer Prop

  1. Donte DiVincenzo NYK (SG) Three Pointers – Over 2.5: Donte faces the Dallas Mavs Thursday night who ranks 17th for most 3-pointers allowed in the NBA overall. The Mavs are ranked 27th in the NBA for 3’s allowed to SG’s. Donte gets us over the number with ease tonight!

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1C. JohnsonPF3PTMo2.5-1308/1080@ CLE10
2K. MiddletonSF3PTMo1.5-1568/1080VS BOS23
3S. Gilgeous-AlexanderSG3PTMo1.5+1307/1070VS POR3
4I. OkoroSG3PTMo0.5-1506/1060VS BRO28
5D. MitchellSG3PTMo3.5+1186/1060VS BRO28
6S. DinwiddiePG3PTMo1.5-1606/1060@ CLE10
7J. BrownSF3PTMo1.5-1706/1060@ MIL6
8J. TatumSF3PTMo2.5-1866/1060@ MIL6
9C. HolmgrenPF3PTMo1.5-1366/1060VS POR3
10D. DiVincenzoSG3PTMo2.5-1286/1060@ DAL17

๐Ÿ“Š Thursdayโ€™s Best NBA Player Prop Bet Hit Rates

The top 10 NBA player props OVER hit rates (Last 20 games) for Thursday are listed below, with a minimum odds threshold of -200.

RANKNAMEPOSITIONBET TYPELINEODDSHIT RATEHIT %OPPDEF RANK
1K. DurantSFPointso26.5-11817/2085@ LAL16
2D. Finney-SmithPFStealso0.5-13916/2080@ CLE22
3K. DurantSFPTS+ASTo31.5-11816/2080@ LAL18
4G. AntetokounmpoPFSTL+BLKo1.5-17915/2075VS BOS1
5M. BeasleySGPTS+REBo11.5-13015/2075VS BOS1
6M. BeasleySGP+A+Ro12.5-12115/2075VS BOS1
7O. AnunobySFAssistso1.5-16015/2075@ DAL23
8O. AnunobySFStealso0.5-17415/2075@ DAL8
9G. AllenSGAssistso2.5-14615/2075@ LAL24
10K. DurantSFAssistso4.5-14615/2075@ LAL24

A new NBA feature on ShedtheBlock.com is providing the most popular NBA player props from DraftKings. NBA public betting data is needed now more than ever with the surge in prop bet activity. Seeing which NBA props are getting the most attention from bettors is a great strategy for building winning picks and parlays.

๐Ÿ€ Most Bet NBA POINTS Player Props On DraftKings


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